Số 231 | Tháng 6/2025
Tác động của giá trị xuất nhập khẩu, chỉ số phát triển điện tử chính phủ đến hiệu quả hoạt động logistics tại ASEAN
Trần Thị Thảo, Nguyễn Thanh Sang
Tóm tắt:
Bài viết xem xét tác động của giá trị xuất nhập khẩu (TRADE) và chỉ số phát triển điện tử chính phủ (E-Government Development Index – EGDI) đến hiệu quả hoạt động logistics (LPI) tại các nước ASEAN, đồng thời đánh giá vai trò điều tiết của EGDI trong mối quan hệ giữa TRADE và LPI, ở giai đoạn 2007–2023 bằng phương pháp OLS, FEM, REM và Two-step Generalized Method of Moments (2 Step-GMM). Kết quả nghiên cứu cho thấy phương pháp 2 Step-GMM phù hợp để xử lý vấn đề nội sinh trong mô hình. Yếu tố TRADE có ảnh hưởng cùng chiều đến LPI, khẳng định vai trò quan trọng của TRADE trong việc thúc đẩy sự phát triển hệ thống logistics, tuy nhiên mức độ tác động không đáng kể. EGDI không chỉ có ảnh hưởng đáng kể trực tiếp đến LPI mà còn điều tiết mối quan hệ giữa TRADE và LPI. Chất lượng cơ sở hạ tầng và vận tải (Quality of Trade and Transport-Related Infrastructure – QTTR) có tác động cùng chiều đến LPI và tăng trưởng GDP (GDPG) không có ảnh hưởng đáng kể, còn lạm phát (INF) có tác động ngược chiều, phản ánh chi phí Logistics gia tăng khi nền kinh tế biến động. Nghiên cứu đưa ra một số hàm ý quản trị gia tăng LPI trong bối cảnh tại ASEAN đang đẩy mạnh hội nhập kinh tế cũng như ứng dụng công nghệ trong quản lý và điều hành.
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The Impact of Trade Value and E-Government Development Index on Logistics Performance in Asean
Abstract:
This study examines the impact of trade value (Trade) and the E-Government Development Index (EGDI) on logistics performance (LPI) in ASEAN countries. Additionally, it evaluates the moderating role of EGDI in the relationship between Trade and LPI from 2007 to 2023 using the Two-Step Generalized Method of Moments (2-Step GMM). The findings indicate that Trade positively influences LPI, confirming its important role in enhancing logistics system development; however, the effect is not particularly strong. EGDI has a significant impact on LPI, both directly and as a moderator in the Trade-LPI relationship. Furthermore, the study reveals that the quality of transport and infrastructure (QTTR) positively affects LPI, while GDP growth (GDPG) does not have a substantial impact. Inflation (INF), on the other hand, negatively influences LPI, indicating that logistics costs tend to rise amid economic fluctuations. The research also offers several managerial implications for improving LPI in ASEAN, particularly as the region intensifies economic integration and technological adoption in management and operations.