Bất định chính sách toàn cầu và thu hút đầu tư trực tiếp nước ngoài: Bằng chứng từ góc độ suy luận quan hệ nhân quả
Tóm tắt
Từ khóa
Tài liệu tham khảo
Akpilic, F. (2026). Global uncertainty, institutional
quality, financial development, and foreign direct investment inflows. The
Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 35(2), 1-27. https://doi.org/10.1080/09638199.2025.2459911
Asamoah, M. E., Adjasi, C. K., & Alhassan, A. L.
(2016). Macroeconomic uncertainty, foreign direct investment and institutional
quality: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa. Economic Systems, 40(4), 612-621. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2016.02.010
Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., & Davis, S. J. (2016).
Measuring economic policy uncertainty. The Quarterly Journal of Economics,
131(4), 1593-1636. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjw024
Braun, B. (2022). Exit, Control, and Politics: Structural
Power and Corporate Governance under Asset Manager Capitalism. Politics &
Society, 50(4), 003232922211262. https://doi.org/10.1177/00323292221126262
Bernanke, B. S. (1983). Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and
Cyclical Investment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 98(1), 85-106.
https://doi.org/10.2307/1885568.
Canh, N. P., Binh, N. T., Thanh, S. D., & Schinckus,
C. (2020). Determinants of foreign direct investment inflows: The role of
economic policy uncertainty. International Economics, 161, 159-172. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.inteco.2019.11.012
Carriero, A., Clark, T. E., & Marcellino, M. (2018).
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy. The Review of Economics
and Statistics, 100(5), 799-815. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00693
Chen, K., Nie, H., & Ge, Z. (2019). Policy
uncertainty and FDI: Evidence from national elections. The Journal of
International Trade & Economic Development, 28(4), 419–428. https://doi.org/10.1080/09638199.2018.1545860
Choi, S., Furceri, D., & Yoon, C. (2021). Policy
uncertainty and foreign direct investment. Review of International Economics,
29(2), 195-227. https://doi.org/10.1111/roie.12495
Colander, D. (2000). The Death of Neoclassical Economics.
Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 22(02), 127. https://doi.org/10.1080/10427710050025330
Davidson, P. (1991). Is Probability Theory Relevant for
Uncertainty? A Post Keynesian Perspective. Journal of Economic Perspectives,
5(1), 129-143. https://doi.org/ 10.1257/jep.5.1.129
Dixit, A. K., & Pindyck, R. S. (1994). Investment under
uncertainty. Princeton university press. https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctt7sncv
Dunning, J. H. (1977). Trade, Location of Economic
Activity and the MNE: A Search for an Eclectic Approach. In B. Ohlin, P.-O.
Hesselborn, & P. M. Wijkman (Eds.), The International Allocation of
Economic Activity: Proceedings of a Nobel Symposium held at Stockholm (pp.
395-418). Palgrave Macmillan UK. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-03196-2_38
Dunning, J. H., & Lundan, S. M. (2008). Institutions
and the OLI Paradigm of the Multinational Enterprise. Asia Pacific Journal of
Management, 25(4), 573-593. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10490-007-9074-z
Eden, L., & Dai, L. (2010). Rethinking the O in
Dunning’s OLI/Eclectic Paradigm. Multinational Business Review, 18(2), 13-34. https://doi.org/10.1108/1525383X201000008
Gulen, H., & Ion, M. (2016). Policy uncertainty and
corporate investment. The Review of Financial Studies, 29(3), 523-564. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhv050
Hanousek, J., Shamshur, A., Svejnar, J., & Tresl, J.
(2021). Corruption level and uncertainty, FDI and domestic investment. Journal
of International Business Studies, 52(9), 1750-1774. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41267-021-00447-w
Hayat, A. (2018). FDI and economic growth: The role of
natural resources? Journal of Economic Studies, 45(2), 283-295. https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-05-2015-0082
Hernández-Huerta, V. A. (2017). Judging Presidential
Elections Around the World: An Overview. Election Law Journal: Rules, Politics,
and Policy, 16(3), 377-396. https://doi.org/10.1089/elj.2016.0373
Higashijima, M., Shimizu, N., Washida, H., & Yanai,
Y. (2025). Election Timing across Autocracy and Democracy (ETAD): A new dataset
of national election dates. Electoral Studies, 96, 102964. https://doi.org/
10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102964
Hong, S., Robert Reed, W., Tian, B., Wu, T., & Chen,
G. (2021). Does FDI promote entrepreneurial activities? A meta-analysis. World
Development, 142, 105436. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2021.105436
Honig, A. (2020). Elections and capital flows. Journal of
Money, Credit and Banking, 52(2-3), 471-503. https://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.12599
Jahn, M., & Stricker, P. (2022). FDI, liquidity, and
political uncertainty: A global analysis. International Economics and Economic
Policy, 19(4), 783-823. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-022-00543-8
Jardet, C., Jude, C., & Chinn, M. (2023). Foreign
direct investment under uncertainty evidence from a large panel of countries.
Review of International Economics, 31(3), 854-885. https://doi.org/10.1111/roie.12646
Julio, B., & Yook, Y. (2016). Policy uncertainty,
irreversibility, and cross-border flows of capital. Journal of International
Economics, 103, 13-26. https://doi.org/ 10.1016/j.jinteco.2016.08.004
Kumar, S., Gorodnichenko, Y., & Coibion, O. (2023).
The effect of macroeconomic uncertainty on firm decisions. Econometrica, 91(4),
1297-1332. https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA21004
Martínez‐Galán, E., & Fontoura, M. P. (2019). Global
value chains and inward foreign direct investment in the 2000s. The World
Economy, 42(1), 175-196. https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.12660
Montes, G. C., & Nogueira, F. da S. L. (2022).
Effects of economic policy uncertainty and political uncertainty on business
confidence and investment. Journal of Economic Studies, 49(4), 577-602. https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-12-2020-0582
Nguyen, C. P., & Lee, G. S. (2021). Uncertainty,
financial development, and FDI inflows: Global evidence. Economic Modelling,
99, 105473. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2021.02.014
Turnbull-Dugarte, S. J. (2022). Do opportunistic snap
elections affect political trust? Evidence from a natural experiment. European
Journal of Political Research, 62(1). https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-6765.12531
Ölmez, F., Bilgiç, E., & Aydın, E. (2024).
Understanding determinants of outward foreign direct investment: The role of
economic policy uncertainty, institutional quality, and globalization. Journal
of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, 29(58), 387-409. https://doi.org/10.1108/JEFAS-05-2023-0143
Xu, D., Pan, Y., Wu, C., & Yim, B. (2006).
Performance of domestic and foreign-invested enterprises in China. Journal of
World Business, 41(3), 261-274. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jwb.2005.10.002